Analysis of Nations Using IT or Your Brain?
(Analyse des nations par l'usage de la sagesse)
Unlike in a glass-walled museum an architect in black designed, in the great underground mall connected to a near-futuristic subway station, does the sun look black (if not a deep shelter on which a nuclear warhead missile lands)?
SECTION I: IT vs. G7
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Earlier this week the International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecast that the US would enter a "mild recession" in 2008 and said that the credit crunch could cost banks and other financial institutions around $1 trillion.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/7342419.stm
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One of the most popular Japanese blogs on economy argued that G7 Financial Authorities Meeting turned out to become a salon of incompetent dignitaries by quoting a UK news agency’s analysis, which is however wrong in both the conclusion and the choice of the UK news agency.
Ms. Satsuki Katayama, one of the most popular female lawmakers and ex-executive of Japan’s Ministry of Finance, wrote in her Japanese blog: G7 does not function timely with the U.S. and Europe leaning to stagflation under inflation; especially she pointed that the US has unduly refrained from pumping sufficient public money into the market while its economy is at the end of cliff, which is a typical delay caused by political situations; however I have another idea.
It is power of IT, namely computer power, that is a key to understanding the state of G7, since all the high-ranking bureaucrats depend on computers in their analysis and decision making, while they cannot fully comprehend the nature and functions of computer software.
Remember that it took several years for Mr. Alan Greenspan to comprehend the power of IT and its contribution to a mysterious and drastic increase in productivity in the US economy in 1990’s.
As the software Mr. Greenspan was using could cope with the situations until 2002, he could somehow manage the US economy. But, as the situation surpassed the ability of the computers and their users, including Mr. Greenspan, none could have a correct and clear view on the subprime loan business, oil price hikes, and the declining of value of the dollar.
In the G7 Meeting, as the financial ministers and central-bank heads could not fully use computers to comprehend the global situation which actually requires more computer power for analysis, they could not offer any reasonable foresight and measures to the world.
It is a lack of ability to make the best use of computers for analysis and solution that is a key to understanding the state and the minds of G7 meeting participants.
I suppose the first-grade computer engineers and scientists in the world would agree with me.
SECTION II: IT and Japan and China and India
The factors that have enabled Chinese economic success so far:
(1) Japan did not push the U.S. to attack China in the era of the Cold War and the Vietnam War.
(2) President Nixon’s decision on de-escalating antagonism on China.
(3) Japan’s huge financial aid to China until early 2000’s.
(4) Japanese industries' massive leveraging Chinese economic potential to the extent of causing deflation in Japan.
(5) Japanese industries' decision to transfer modern technologies to China to enhance the scope of business operation and their activities.
(6) China could timely rely on emerging IT power so that it could make a quantum leap in absorbing, introducing, and applying modern technologies and business practices which would otherwise require 100 years to access.
(7) China’s traditional cultural base as a merchant-characterized race though not as a craftsman-characterized race, which match the trend of global commerce expansion.
(8) China’s tradition of spiritual culture, including Taoism, Confucianism, and Buddhism.
(9) The well maintained social order by the Chinese Communist Party, which however must be superseded by introduction of true democracy.
The factors that have enabled Indian economic success so far:
(1) Good examples of economic success of Japan.
(2) India could timely rely on emerging IT power so that it could make a quantum leap in absorbing, introducing, and applying modern technologies and business practices which would otherwise require 100 years to access.
(3) India’s tradition of spiritual culture.
(4) India’s experiences and lessons well learnt as the past colony of the U.K.
Anyway, the major factors of success, so far, of China and India are Japan and IT.
SECTION III: Chinese Dream Faked
China has a long history of wars, revolutions, insurgents, Sino-centric diplomacy, and conspiracies as well as traitorous acts, matching those of the Roman Empire, one legacy of which can be like the following:
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China, Japan and India are all big countries each with a population exceeding a hundred million. Their GDPs are $1.4 trillion, $4.3 trillion and $0.5 trillion respectively. India's GDP, calculated according to purchasing power parity (PPP), is next only to Japan and China in Asia. For this reason the three countries can be called the three "Giants" in Asia. If the three giants can strengthen their strategic cooperation, it is not only conducive to their own development but also to the rejuvenation of Asia.
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The total GDP of China, Japan and India tops $6 trillion, accounting for around 20 percent of the world total GDP. The per-capita GDPs of the three countries are quite different, which means China, Japan and India will constitute the largest multi-level market in the world.
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Among China, Japan and India there shouldn't be the kind of thinking of "pulling another over to one's side so as to contain the other" or joining hands with a superpower in regions outside Asia to contain or even encircle one of the three countries. China, Japan and India each lay great emphasis on the importance of relations with the United States In the meantime they should attach great importance to the mutual relations with one another rather than letting oneself become a pawn of a superpower outside Asia in containing one of the countries within the region…
http://english.people.com.cn/200404/29/eng20040429_141908.shtml
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China cannot take an initiative to make a three-party alliance of giants in Asia.
China should not pretend that it does not owe anything to Japan and the U.S.
China should first pull out all its troops from Tibet before starting to discuss anything great with Japan and the U.S.
SECTION IV: Where is your country, Michael and Al?
The following analysis tells why China should be treated with a very caution and kept a sharp eye on.
Finally, Mr. Gore and Mr. Moore should go to China with cameras to save people from pollution and contamination if not to Tibet, since "Chinese cities often seem wrapped in a toxic gray shroud. Only 1 percent of the country’s 560 million city dwellers breathe air considered safe by the European Union."
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/26/world/asia/26china.html?ei=5088&en=c2fb1c3c5fe905b1&ex=1345780800&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&pagewanted=all
(Anyway, last night I should have said these words to my girl, if so divinely set up.)
“Christ has set us free! Stand, then, as free people”
(Christus hat uns befreit. Steht also fest)