Tokyo to the West from Shinjuku
(Click to enlarge.)World Energy Sources
Allah gave Islam to Arabs so that they could compete with Europeans before the era of the Industrial Revolution.
Allah gave crude oil to Arabs and Islamic nations so that they could defend their territories from Europeans after the Industrial Revolution.
The God of course gave European Christians the New World, America, so that non-Vatican controlled Christianity could prevail to accept even many Judaists.
The God gave America crude oil, too.
Yet, the regions between Islam and Russia, a nation with non-Vatican controlled Orthodox Church, are given a plenty of oil/gas fields.
The God has given even China, or the Islamic region within China, enough oil/gas fields.
In addition, Allah has given a plenty of oil/gas fields to Indonesia and Brunei, southeast Asia Islamic nations.
So, for the time being, mankind is allowed to live relying on crude oil and natural gas.
PART I: Oil/Gas Pipe Lines
Oil Pipe Lines in the Eurasia Continent:
(http://oilgas-info.jogmec.go.jp/pdf/3/3616/201007_017a.pdf)
Gas Pipe Lines in the Eurasia Continent:
Japan's import of crude oil from Russia accounted for 2% in 2006, 4% in 2008, and probably 8% in 2010 of all the imported amount where the share of 85% or so is occupied by the Middle East.
Russia's energy source is expected to become a key to further development in China and India, too. Pipelines from the Caspian Sea are expected to supply natural gas for Pakistan and India.
Put simply, the basic conditions for further development and mutual prosperity exist in the east part of the Eurasian Continent, especially covering Russia, China, India, and Japan.
The point at issue is that emission of CO2 and heat from energy use will further increase, since Russia, China, and India are developing countries.
Current European's CO2 strategy of requesting Japan alone to reduce CO2 emission is now apparently out of date and sense.
It ca be also regraded as the relative fall of Europe, since Russia, China, India, and Japan have a solid base for further growth in GDP.
With the Islamic democratization going on, it would be further lead to the relative fall of Europe.
In other words, non-Vatican influential regions in Eurasia are going to overwhelm Vatican influential Europe in the 21st century. This could trigger a great change in the Vatican itself.
In addition, Japan has paid relatively higher prices to crude oil sold by Arab oil producing countries, which has made it possible for the U.S. and Europe to purchase crude oil from the Middle East at cheaper prices. This double standards have greatly contributed to money saving by the U.S. and Europe when importing crude oil from the Islamic nations. This situation is also going to be corrected, since Japan can import crude oil more from Russia.
PART II: World Energy Outlook
At least till the 2012 US Presidential Election, no so drastic change will occur in the global oil/gas market and other energy resource markets.
World Energy Outlook 2010
Executive Summary
In the New Policies Scenario, world primary energy demand increase by 36% between 2008 and 2035, from around 12,300 million tones of oil equivalent (Mtoe) to over 16,700 Mtoe…
China, where demand has surged over the past decade, contribute 36% to the projected growth in global energy use, its demand rising by 75% between 2008 and 2035…
Our preliminary data suggest that China overtook the United States in 2009 to become the world’s largest energy user. Strikingly, Chinese energy use was only half that of the United States in 2000…
In the New Policies Scenario, production in total does not peak before 2035, though it comes close to doing so…
Oil demand (excluding biofuels) continues to grow steadily, reaching about 99 million barrels per day (mb/d) by 2015 – 15 mb/d higher than in 2009…
Unconventional oil is set to play an increasingly important role in world oil supply through 2035, regardless of what governments do to curb demand. In the New Policies Scenario, output rises 2.3 mb/d in 2009 to 9.5 mb/d in 2035…
http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/docs/weo2010/WEO2010_ES_English.pdf
Yet, peoples in the world will come to think about the state of energy sources more and more around 2015.
*** *** *** ***
President Mr. Barack Obama introduced reduction of tax on ordinary and poor households. But, higher unemployment looks like offsetting the tax reduction effect. What is inconvenient, the president is forced to continue reduction of tax on wealthy households. So, the current stability in the American society is on this balance of Obama's tax policy. Yet, if he cannot be reelected in 2012, the gap between the rich and the poor in America will be expanded, inviting a future drastic revolutionary change in the American politics. If he is reelected, a further effort in narrowing the gap will be promoted with more tax on rich people. Yet, the key might be in Obama's building up clean-energy industries where many poor workers are employed, though the outlook is not so promising now.
One irony is that China is now expanding its military capability, neglecting the ever increasing gap between the rich and the poor inside the despotic state.
The U.S., with its global defense capability, will have to contain the military expansion of China. From a view point of global security of energy resources, China is a disturbing factor and the U.S. is a major stabilizing factor, good or bad. So, it will be a little difficult challenge for the Obama Administration or the new administration after 2012.
Yet, the key to reducing the tension and pressure in possible international strife over natural resources might lie in Japan's energy saving technology China wants so much.
[News on Japan; American Honda February Sales Up 21.6 Percent
http://www.honda.com/newsandviews/article.aspx?id=5921-en]
Luk 3:4 As it is written in the book of the words of Esaias the prophet, saying, The voice of one crying in the wilderness, Prepare ye the way of the Lord, make his paths straight.
Luk 3:5 Every valley shall be filled, and every mountain and hill shall be brought low; and the crooked shall be made straight, and the rough ways shall be made smooth;