Wednesday, September 25, 2013

"whereas I was blind, now I see" - Democratic Voters vs The Republican Rich


Before Office of Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Tokyo


Democratic Voters vs The Republican Rich 

In the 2012 US Presidential Election non-Hispanic whites accounted for 72% of all the voters; blacks 13%, Hispanics 10%, and others 5%.

Among non-Hispanic whites, 39% voted for the Democratic candidate Obama; among blacks 93% for Obama; among Hispanics 71% for Obama; and among others about 68% for Obama.

Consequently the Democratic camp got  50% (0.72 x 0.39 + 0.13 x 0.93 + 0.1 x 0.71 + 0.05 x 0.68) of votes.

That is why Barack Obama won in the 2012 Election despite a fact that he could only secure 39% of non-Hispanic white voters while he could secure 43% in 2008.

It is estimated that the ratio of white voters decreases by 2% in every four years, while the ratio of the so-called minorities increases by 2% in every four years.  As a result the Democratic Party has its share of votes dropped by 0.85% while the Republican Party has 0.85% more votes in every four years.  So, the gap between them continues to grow by 1.8% in every Presidential Election.

In addition, between 2000 and 2013 the US employed population who were born in the US have decreased by 1.3 million from 114 million, while  the US employed population who were born outside the US have grown by 5.3 million from 17 million.

Put simply the job growth in the US from 2000 to 2013 was mostly contributed to by immigrants.  However, those immigrants are mostly engaged in low-paying jobs.  The employment rate of those who graduated from universities or postgraduate schools is 81.8% for those Americans born in the US and 77.4% for immigrants.

Therefore, the lower middle class and the lower class society of the US are going to be filled by Americans born outside the US or immigrants, but they are going to have a decisive influence on the American presidential election.

This social and political structure might offset the overwhelmingly dominant influence of European Americans on the economic sphere of the US.

We will probably not see a George Bush type of US Presidents from the Republican Party anymore.

Having said so, there is still a possibility that a very Christian president will come from the Republican Party since those supporting the Democratic Party include Americans who are apparently  stray from traditional codes of Christians.  Even Catholic Hispanics might change their political stance toward the Republic Party in near future.




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Joh 9:25 He answered and said, Whether he be a sinner or no, I know not: one thing I know, that, whereas I was blind, now I see.