(Captain Tokyo So High!; click to enlarge; Tokyo Tree Tower at 398 m or 1306 feet as it has been still under construction.)Dream Days or Dreamy Days
One night recently, a very prominent Japanese politician appeared in my dream.
To my surprise, he was friendly to me.
But, other night recently, a very prominent foreign agency appeared in my dream.
To my surprise, they were not friendly to me.
I might have to be careful in dealing with a Japanese agency and a foreign prominent politician.
SECTION I: Soccer and Election
At 03:30 a.m., Friday, on June 25, Japan Standard Time, the Japanese team is to meet the Denmark team in South Africa.
I don't know how many people here in Japan will watch the live broadcast tonight or before dawn.
But, it is a big event for the Japanese people like for Danes.
However, it is very interesting that the official announcement of the Upper-House election is coincidentally heralded today in Japan.
SECTION II: Which Will Win?
The Japan's Upper House has 242 members. Every three year, 121 lawmakers who have completed their 6-year term are renewed through an election.
For the ruling camp led by the DPJ to maintain a majority, namely 122 seats, it needs to have 56 candidates elected in this 7/11-2010 election.
Before Former P.M. Mr. Yukio Hatoyama resigned a few weeks ago, it was predicted by most of critics and journalists that the ruling DPJ and its allied parties would win only less than 40 seats, meaning a big defeat.
But, now with controversial ex-political hero Mr. Yukio Hatoyama and Mr. Ichiro Ozawa (former Director General of the DPJ) having left key positions, the DPJ led by P.M. Mr. Naoto Kan is expected to win more seats. But how many?
If they should not be able to maintain a majority in the Upper House despite overwhelming advantage in the Lower House, the ruling camp will have to invite other minor party or parties into a new coalition.
The threshold number is 56. Can P.M. Mr. Kan win 56 seats?
I think it will be less than 50, specifically around 48.
If it should be around 45, current head of the DPJ Mr. Naoto Kan would have to face a tough situation after the election toward the party convention in September where a new head is to be elected as it is the legitimate end of the term of former head Mr. Hatoyama since Mr. Kan replaced Mr. Hatoyama on a temporary base.
But, it will be not so easy that the former ruling party LDP, so pro-American, to exceed the DPJ in terms of elected seats. Yet, if the LDP led by Lower-House lawmaker Mr. Sadakzu Tanigaki cannot win at least one third, namely 40, of the seats up for re-election it is a kind of crisis for conservative people in Japan.
Three years ago, the liberal DPJ won 60 seats in the Upper-House election, and the conservative LDP 37 as a precursor to the 30-8-2009 quasi-revolutionary general election.
Yet, it is said that a real trend will be only fixed just two days before the voting date.
Anyway, the despotic-state North Korea-friendly DPJ with so many amateur-class politicians should not be allowed to get more arrogant with any victory.
SECTION III: 4% Economic Growth
Dubai built more than 60 building, each taller than 700 feet, leveraging $550 billion investments from overseas, though it has now $85 billion deficits.
If Japan grows at a 4% rate per year, its GDP will increase by $240 billion (= $6 trillion x 0.04).
It means Japan will have 25 buildings, each taller than 700 feet, per year in the land size almost equal to that of California State, while the flatland accounts for only 30% or so of the whole Japanese land.
Taking into consideration environmental conditions and 125 million population of Japan (3.5 times larger than California's), this 4% growth translated into a Dubai-size development per two years cannot be sustained in Japan even for four to six years, since it will destroy the nature unbearably.
All the Japan's rivals, that is, the U.S., the E.U., China, and even Canada, Australia, Russia, India, and Brazil, have a 20 times or more larger land size each. They can absorb a Dubai-size development per two to four years. But Japan cannot.
This is the most fundamental reason for the Japan's low growth rate since 1990's, which no economists in the world can insightfully interpret.
No Japanese politicians either so far have been able to offer a solution.
The LDP could not, so that they lost power in the 30-8-2009 election.
The DPJ seems to be unable, so that it must be checked in the 11-July-2010 election.
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Now, leaders of political parties have started to address voters on the street in Japan.
All I want to say is: "If you cannot help your neighbours, you have to make the government do in lieu of you. Who in the name of you will help your poor neighbours?"
Anyway, happy P.M. Mr. Naoto Kan with his classical wife has started to fly to Canada for the G8 Summit.
I hope that the Japanese prime misiter will discuss the Afghan issue with the American president.
(http://www.asahi-net.or.jp/~ud3t-krym/902-jasrac/0910-yozoranotrumpet.htm )
Joh 6:23 (Howbeit there came other boats from Tiberias nigh unto the place where they did eat bread, after that the Lord had given thanks:)
Joh 6:24 When the people therefore saw that Jesus was not there, neither his disciples, they also took shipping, and came to Capernaum, seeking for Jesus.
Joh 6:25 And when they had found him on the other side of the sea, they said unto him, Rabbi, when camest thou hither?
Joh 6:26 Jesus answered them and said, Verily, verily, I say unto you, Ye seek me, not because ye saw the miracles, but because ye did eat of the loaves, and were filled.