(...to the Tokyo Bay? Odaiba area?)Global Warming and Chaos Theory
(Le réchauffement de la planète et de la théorie du chaos)
I have made a graph as below displayed based on data in "Official Energy Statistics from the U.S. Government."
(please double click the image to enlarge it)Fig. World Total Electric Power Generation by EEE Reporter
(source: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/electricity.html )
My argument about global warming is that there is a possibility that its main factor is the accumulated effect of electric power generated by mankind and inevitably producing heat in these decades (in addition to heat caused by burning fuels, rather than simple increase in CO2 in the air).
It is just like you are using an electric heater in a closed room; and the heater never stops but increases its power for decades, though from a big glass window in the room some of generated heat can escape to the outside.
The electricity generator in the room may also produce heat while emitting CO2 and other gasses that can trap the heat so that the heat will not easily escape to the outside through the big window.
But, it must be heat itself, taking into account both the electric heater and electricity generation facilities, that is mainly raising the temperature in the room.
Put extremely, without such heat sources, the heat provided by sun rays to the room and the heat escaping through the window may be balanced over a wide range of increases in CO2 and other gasses caused by other elements except a heater and an electricity generator.
Put simply, the CO2 increase without being accompanied by any kinds of electric heaters and other heat sources on the ground may not be so threatening to mankind and global warming.
* * *
According to the theory of chaos, a butterfly in Beijing that swings its wings could cause a violent storm in the East Coast of the United States, if all the other factors are favorably fixed for the butterfly.
If the global climate follows the theory of chaos and a certain mathematical formulation, there is a chance that a butterfly in Beijing that swings its wings could cause a violent storm in the East Coast of the United States.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chaos_theory
But, of course, it is still controversial that the global climate completely follows the Chaos Theory and a certain mathematical formulation, since nobody has ever specified such a tested and proved formulation that will probably include millions of variables, equations, and coefficients.
(Of course, a supercomputer in Japan has so far succeeded in understanding and predicting some limited part of the global weather based on certain mathematical formulations.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_Simulator ）
In addition, though it seems to be apparent that roughly speaking the global climate includes partly some effects of the Chaos Theory as one of factors, it is unlikely that a butterfly in Beijing is really dominating the weather in New York, since its swing can be simply nullified by that of another butterfly in New York in reality or virtually.
But, the increase of heat due to ever growing electric power generated by mankind cannot be countered by any other factors.
In any case, the increase in the electric power and heat generated by mankind in these decades, a sole huge swing of wings of an unseen gigantic butterfly, must be taken into consideration to the same extent as that of emission of CO2 and other gasses.
It is because if we continue to increase the amount of electric power being generated even without emission of greenhouse gases and being consumed in electric heaters, namely any kinds of electric goods, I suppose there is a strong possibility that the temperature of the earth will continue to rise, since it is tantamount of using an electric heater, even without a combustion-based electricity generator, in a room without any halt for decades regardless of emission of CO2.
* * *
There are still controversies on the cause of global warming: some solely point at CO2 and others cast doubt on CO2.
Even, some people wrongly interpret and apply the Chaos Theory to the global warming.
That is why I have presented this report: Forget about CO2, at least sometimes, and the Butterfly Effect but look at the figure showing increase in electric power generation, since it produces such heat as specified in the following well-known and basic formula of electricity:
H = I x I x R
H: heat
I: electric current
R: electric resistance
(As V = IR, H = IV)
(The "C," namely the element carbon, is also the sole component of diamond.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamond
The God might, in His glory, allow me someday to devise a method to extract carbon from CO2 and convert it all to diamond very easily.
In the case, I can get easily mega tons of diamond for any use, such as buttons of jackets poor people put on.)
"ALL THINGS ARE LIKE THE FIRST PAINS OF CHILDBIRTH"
(Das alles ist erst der Anfang vom Ende - so wie der Beginn der Geburtswehen)