(Around the government office quarter adjacent to the Diet Building, Tokyo)FINALLY THE RACIAL PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
(I don't think, dear, that it is Joe the Plumber and the like that could take a historic role in electing the first African American President; but it must be comparatively rich some European Americans who account for 2.5% of expected actual voters and who would put a higher priority on other social or personal concerns above the racial issue.
In this context, my dear, it will be finally the racial Presidential Election in the minds of those comparatively rich European Americans one of whom you might be so naturally if in the U.S.)
Jesus Christ, the Son of God, told us not to judge a person based on his outlook.
Indeed, Mr. McCain might be “black” inside, and Mr. Obama might be “white” inside.
Or, imagine that Mr. McCain is an African American and Mr. Obama is a European American; then see how American voters change their choice for the next President.
Is the racial issue more important than policies each candidate is committed to?
According to a survey conducted in the U.S. in 1988, those who answered that America was not split into the two spheres of "the have and the have-not" accounted for 71% and those who admitted the separation accounted for 26%.
According to a survey conducted in the U.S. in 2007, those who answered that America was not split into the two spheres of "the have and the have-not" accounted for 48% and those who admitted the separation accounted for 48%.
American citizens who regarded themselves as members of “the have” accounted for about 60% of all in 1988; but the ratio dropped to 45% in 2007.
( http://www.kumagai.ne.jp/column/entry.php?entry_pkey=990 )
As the population of African Americans occupy only 12% or so of the total population and the 15% change could be part of the widening gap between the have and the have-not as indicated by the above 23% change, almost one fourth of European American families look like getting actually poorer in these 20 years.
Then, if European American voters have a share of 70% of all the actual voters, the support-base among European Americans for Mr. McCain decreases to 52.5% (70 – 70*0.25 = 52.5), if measured with a focus on racial preference.
If more than 2.5% of this remained support-base among European Americans for Mr. McCain put more weight on non-racial issues, such as the Wall Street debacle, Mr. McCain would lose a majority of the total voters in this analysis.
Put simply, if 2.5% of “the have” among European Americans who has no reasons for voting for Ms. Obama due to their financial conditions, nonetheless, opt for Mr. Obama for some other causes, there is no chance for Mr. McCain to be elected as the next U.S. President.
And, as there are many Democratic European Americans, such as the Clintons, who would usually vote for a Democratic candidate, the above perspective is very likely.
Conversely, the chance for Mr. McCain to win the election seems to solely depend on how much European Americans will welcome, and be proud of having, an African American President.
Finally and very ironically, it is the very racial factor that will decide the final outcome of the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election.
And, specifically, how the factor works among that rich 2.5% European Americans must hold a key.
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However, as I once wrote, it is President Mr. George W. Bush that has actually helped Mr. Obama get such a surge of credit and respect.
Mr. Powell and Ms. Rice have proved that elite African Americans can do any higher official job as well as elite European Americans.
If European Americans can conquer this barrier of the racial issue today, we have to give credit to President Mr. Bush.
Yet, The Washington Post reads even in its endorsement to Mr. Obama:
"ANY PRESIDENTIAL vote is a gamble, and Mr. Obama’s resume is undoubtedly thin."
From a Japan’s standpoint, it is truly outrageous to put Japan’s national security into the hands of a U.S. President who only wins a gamble to be U.S. President without rich past records.
As a Japanese, I have to claim so, whether the next U.S. President is African American or European American, which means Mr. Obama may have to face another challenge since some non-nonsense Japanese with a chivalrous spirit, if not samurai moral philosophy, seem to check EEE Reporter sometimes.
(What do you listen to on Saturdays, since I so wonder?
http://www.fukuchan.ac/music/j-folk2/kaze.html )
Mat 10:18 And ye shall be brought before governors and kings for my sake, for a testimony against them and the Gentiles.
Mat 10:19 But when they deliver you up, take no thought how or what ye shall speak: for it shall be given you in that same hour what ye shall speak.
Mat 10:20 For it is not ye that speak, but the Spirit of your Father which speaketh in you.