Monday, July 07, 2008

The Energy Conservation Law Over CO2



(Traveling to a hometown of Tora-san [Tora the Gentleman or Gentleman Tora])




The Energy Conservation Law Over CO2


Yesterday, I visited a famous railroad station annexed to a famous commercial avenue also annexed to a famous Buddhist temple, which are all depicted in a series of famous Japanese movies featuring a street vendor or a vagabond called "Tora."

At night, an NHK TV channel presented environment/ CO2-related program.

As no other interesting TV programs are broadcast nowadays around Tokyo on Sunday nights, I then checked CO2-related sites on the Internet.



SECTION I: CO2 SCIENCE PERFECT?

If a scientist claims correctness and completeness of his theory with 100% confidence, there is always a big missing point.

But, a scientist has presented answers to almost all the questions and doubts on the CO2 theory concerning the global warming with 100% confidence, for example:

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MYTH: Water vapor is the most important, abundant greenhouse gas. So if we’re going to control a greenhouse gas, why don’t we control it instead of carbon dioxide (CO2)?

FACT: Although water vapor traps more heat than CO2, because of the relationships among CO2, water vapor and climate, to fight global warming nations must focus on controlling CO2.

Atmospheric levels of CO2 are determined by how much coal, natural gas and oil we burn and how many trees we cut down, as well as by natural processes like plant growth. Atmospheric levels of water vapor, on the other hand, cannot be directly controlled by people; rather, they are determined by temperatures. The warmer the atmosphere, the more water vapor it can hold. As a result, water vapor is part of an amplifying effect. Greenhouse gases like CO2 warm the air, which in turn adds to the stock of water vapor, which in turn traps more heat and accelerates warming. Scientists know this because of satellite measurements documenting a rise in water vapor concentrations as the globe has warmed.

The best way to lower temperature and thus reduce water vapor levels is to reduce CO2 emissions….


http://www.edf.org/page.cfm?tagID=1011
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In a complicated system called the Earth, the relationship between heat from the sun, heat accumulated in the ground and the ocean, heat carried and absorbed by water and its vapor, heat received and emitted by CO2, and their total and local effects might not be so simple as is specified by simple equation or descriptions.



SECTION 2: HISTORY AROUND GLOBAL WARMING

As is usual, we have to review the trend and transition of human awareness on global warming in a time series.

The following site is recommended, since it looks like very honestly written based on human conscience:

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The Public and Climate Change

Already in the 1930s, many people noticed that their weather was getting warmer.

Few connected this with human activity, and still fewer feared any harm. Gradually scientists, aided by science journalists, informed the minority of educated people that modern civilization might cause global warming, sometime far in the future.

In the early 1970s, the question began to concern a wider public. By then most people had come to fear planet-wide harm from technology in general. Now an onslaught of droughts suggested we were already damaging the climate. The issue was confused, however, when experts debated whether pollution would bring global warming or, instead, an appalling new ice age.

By the end of the 1970s, scientific opinion had settled on warming as most likely, probably becoming evident around the year 2000 — that is, in a remote and uncertain future. (On continuation page:) Some scientists nevertheless went directly to the public to demand action to avert the warming, and a few politicians took up the issue.

During the hot summer of 1988, a few outspoken scientists, convinced by new evidence that rapid climate change might be imminent, made the public fully aware of the problem. Scientific discussions now became entangled with fierce political debates over scientific uncertainty and the costs of regulating greenhouse gases.

It was not until around 2005 that American media reported clearly that scientists had resolved the controversy, while films and ominous weather events gave citizens a better idea of what global warming might mean. The majority of Americans (except on the political right) had moved gradually to a vague feeling that some kind of action should be taken. Stronger worries had grown among people in most other countries, and among many thoughtful policy-makers in the United States itself.


http://www.aip.org/history/climate/Public.htm
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It must be the Energy Conservation Law rather than CO2-light/heat theory that more emphasis should be placed on.

Human activities using any forms of energy discharge the very energy to the environment.

Any mechanical work in the human sphere is conducted in the air not in the vacuum, so that the energy used in work and operation of machine would be discharged to the air in the form of heat.

Historical accumulation of the amount of these discharged heat is enormous.

A big city or an industrial zone itself is a heating generator which often continues to work in seven days a week, all year.

If no CO2 is emitted from such cities and industrial zones, the total and historical amount of heat emitted to the air would surely disturb the climate and the environment.

Therefore, if every theory on CO2 is correct or reasonable, we have to still respect the Energy Conservation Law.



SECTION 3: ECONOMICS UP TO 2050

Now in the G8 Summit Meeting being held here in Japan, global top leaders are discussing the global-warming-related-CO2 business up to the year 2050.

If you have any friends working around this most important international meeting in the world, I hope that you would suggest them to check the following site, since the G8 Summit Conference is more important than the United Nations Security Council.

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…How much wealth will people in 2050 have at their disposal for adapting to whatever climate change may happen? A crude estimate derived by calculating a compounded average economic growth rate of 3 percent per year from now until 2050 projects that the world's $47 trillion economy will grow to $163 trillion. Today, the global average income per capita is $7,200. In 2050, assuming 10 billion inhabitants, average income will more than double to $16,300. If efforts to slow global warming reduce economic growth rates by half of a percent, total world product would drop to $133 trillion and average incomes would be $3,000 less. One stab at determining whether or not it is worth slowing down economic growth to prevent climate change is to ask if global warming is expected cause more than $30 trillion in economic damage each year by 2050.

Finally, what about fostering an energy technology revolution? Shellenberger and Nordhaus assert that the old "pollution paradigm" of environmentalism is played out because it frames the climate change and energy challenges "as a forced choice between poverty and environmental ruin." What we need now, they argue, is an explicitly pro-growth, pro-prosperity politics for the 21st Century. So they are advocating a ten-year $300 billion energy research program as the way to address climate change. "The goal of the program," they claim, "is to bring the price of clean energy down to the price of coal and natural gas as quickly as possible." Another advantage is that emissions from rapidly developing economies like China and India could be cut if low carbon energy can be made as cheap as fossil fuels.


http://www.reason.com/news/show/127279.html

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From the beginning, it is mostly Europeans and European Americans who have enjoyed the fruits of the Industrial Revolution up to now.

They have caused this climate change, but not Africans, Asians and American Natives.

It is not China and India but mostly Europeans and European Americans who have enjoyed the fruits of the Industrial Revolution up to now while emitting so much heat and CO2 to the environment.

If China and India, in addition to Africans, Asians and American Natives, have decided to enjoy the fruits of the Industrial Revolution as much as Europeans and European Americans have done until now, you cannot stop them.

Indeed, you cannot stop them if they want to sacrifice the environment and the climate for their future economic prosperity.

Before they die, they will surely want to enjoy the materially rich life Europeans and European Americans have been enjoying.

Only God, Allah, the Christ, or religions can persuade poor Chinese, Indians, and other Africans, Asians and American Natives to sacrifice their material dream of prosperity for prevention of the global temperature rise of at most one to two degrees.

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The sequence of the global warming is as follows; thus solution must be directed in its order:
(1) Human Godless Desire
(2) Wrong Application of Industrial Revolution
(3) Sinful development of technology and commercialism
(4) Unregulated use of energy, such as electricity and cars
(5) Unregulated use of crude oil, coal, and natural gas
(6) Inevitable emission of heat and CO2
(7) Increase in the global temperature

First, the human godless desire should be tackled and targeted.

G8 leaders should refer to EEE Reporter, if they want to avoid any horrible miracle upon them.


(That is all for today, since I am now thinking about what miracle I encountered yesterday at a downtown of Tokyo beside a big river called the Edo-gawa River.

And, remember that when I wrote "a miracle could happen at any time" and somebody laughed at it a month ago or so after the Great Sichuan Earthquake in China, a great earthquake occurred in the northern part of the Main Island of Japan, south of the Hokkaido Island.

http://players.music-eclub.com/?action=player&sid[]=134955 ;
Indeed any murder is sternly forbidden by the God if not by law, for instance, in the case of war...)





Mar 7:7 Howbeit in vain do they worship me, teaching for doctrines the commandments of men.

Mar 7:8 For laying aside the commandment of God, ye hold the tradition of men, as the washing of pots and cups: and many other such like things ye do.