Tuesday, May 04, 2010

"But her end is bitter as wormwood"


(Tokyo Times Square?)


Logical Thinking

If you have a child, you must protect him or her.

But, with violence, as the first and last means, would you try to protect your child?

Can you show a violent attitude to others while bringing your child on a street, as a warning that you would violate others if they start to violate your child?

Even in Japan, some stupid young father behaves so stupidly.

Be humble when you are with your child so that people around you would protect him or her due to your humbleness, since you have no power to destroy a police system of a nation.

The bottom line is if there is one such a stupid young father in Japan, how many of the similar kind are in America, Europe, India, and the Middle East since East Asia is the only region of Buddhism and Confucianism that teach humbleness with good manners?


SECTION I: GLOBAL WARMING MATHEMATICALLY DENIED

The global temperature increased in the period between 1995 and 2010 compared with the preceding period between 1980 and 1995.

But, It is not a simple linear increase as often stressed. Though between the above two periods the base temperature level was up, no simple linear increase of temperature is observed within the latter period between 1995 and 2010 as can be proven mathematically.

Anyway, carefully check the below figure showing temperature change prepared by an American university. You will confirm the above my assertion.

(click to enlarge)

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No statistically significant warming since 1995: a quick mathematical proof
Posted on December 26, 2009 by Anthony Watts

Physicist Luboš Motl of The Reference Frame demonstrates how easy it is to show that there is: No statistically significant warming since 1995...

By: Luboš Motl
...
The UAH 1995-2009 slope was calculated to be 0.95 [degrees Centigrade] per century. And the standard deviation of this figure, calculated via the standard formula on this page, is 0.88 [degrees Centigrade]/century. So this suggests that the positivity of the slope is just a 1-sigma result – a noise. Can we be more rigorous about it? You bet...

The 99% confidence interval is (-1.59, +3.49) in [degrees Centigrade]/century. Similarly, the 95% confidence interval for the slope is (-0.87, 2.8) in [degrees Centigrade]/century. On the other hand, the 90% confidence interval is (-0.54, 2.44) in [degrees Centigrade]/century. All these intervals contain both negative and positive numbers. No conclusion about the slope can be made on either 99%, 95%, and not even 90% confidence level.

Only the 72% confidence interval for the slope touches zero. It means that the probability that the underlying slope is negative equals 1/2 of the rest, i.e. a substantial 14%.

We can only say that it is "somewhat more likely than not" that the underlying trend in 1995-2009 was a warming trend rather than a cooling trend. Saying that the warming since 1995 was "very likely" is already way too ambitious a goal that the data don't support...


http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/26/no-statistically-significant-warming-since-1995-a-quick-mathematical-proof/


Note: The "slope" means a temperature change trend (up or down). To say something about up or down, the confidence level must be first lowered to 72%. At this level, a slope zero (a levl line) occurs, and the probability of a "negative" slope and a "positive" slope outside this level-slope domain is considered each as 50%, namely 14% substantially (=[100-72]*0.5), indicating no wonder mathematically if global cooling is now occurring.
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In summary, for various complex reasons, the global temperature increased in the period between 1995 and 2010 compared with the preceding period between 1980 and 1995, but no simple linear increase of temperature is observed within the latter period between 1995 and 2010 as can be proven mathematically.

In this decade or 15 years, the temperature level was higher than in early 1990's, 1980's, and 1970's, but no further trend of a simple increase in the temperatures can be proven mathematically within this latest period.

As the number of sun spots has dramatically decreased in past two years, it is likely that the global cooling has begun last year, though some heat already accumulated in the ocean can still continue to locally influence some regions on the earth. That may be why the central part of the Pacific Ocean over the equator got heated abnormally and the total CO2 absorption by the ocean suddenly decreased last year.

You may also check the status of ice expansion in the Arctic Sea as reported by the National Snow and Ice Center:


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http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/index.html
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The ice covered area around the north pole has decreased through 1970's to 2000's. It recorded the minimum in 2006. But, the ice prevailed wider in early 2010 than in early 2007. As the sea contains more heat longer than the air or the land, there can be time delay for some effect of global cooling to come up to the surface of the Arctic Sea.

When the ice extension in the Arctic region has started to explicitly increase again, the world will admit global cooling.


SECTION II: When Israel Is Evacuated

First of all, if an Israeli today cannot prove his or her concrete and specific family tree that can be traced back to the era of Jesus Christ or at least the time of the first Jewish-Roman War (66–70 CE), that person has no right to live in Palestine legally.

If a pure native American person converts to Judaism today, he or she has no right at all to live in Palestine or the nation Israel.

Japanese are very compassionate to Judaists living or killed during WWII. But, Japanese are also very compassionate to Palestinians being suppressed by the Israeli military today.

But, as China has increased its military capacity along with its economic development, Palestinians might have more military power if their economy is improved.

If Syria and other anti-Israeli nations also succeed in economic growth like China, they would have more military capability to overwhelm Israel. So, the issue is whether Syria and other anti-Israeli nations can achieve high growth in economy like China.

European nations and America will not help Syria and other anti-Israeli nations achieve high growth in economy like China. Probably China will not, either, since Islam is a potential enemy of China.

Only Japan can help Syria and other anti-Israeli nations achieve high growth in economy like China.

In future, when Israel realizes that it cannot fight and win against Syria and other anti-Israeli nations that has developed like China in terms of economy and military, Israelis will evacuate the nation Israel, since Israel today exists only based on military superiority over Syria and other anti-Israeli nations.

But, where will they go?

*** *** *** ***

In the Japanese National Diet (Parliament), if one camp has more than two thirds of seats in the Lower House, they can override any resolution the Upper House has adopted.

The camp led by ruling Democratic Party of Japan (with the head of P.M. Mr. Yukio Hatoyama) is 10 seats short of this 2/3 majority. Its allies the Social Democratic Party has 7 seats and the People's New Party has 3 seats. So, the ruling coalition has in theory the 2/3 majority. But to make it sure, the DPJ might take other party into the coalition. Then, it needs no majority in the Upper House, which was the case for the former ruling party LDP.

In this context, the coming Upper House election can be a secondary matter to the DPJ and Mr. Ichiro Ozawa, the senior lawmaker for P.M. Mr. Hatoyama.

Mr. Ozawa and the DPJ might take, for example, New Komeito occupying 21 seats in the Lower House, into the coalition, realizing the 2/3 majority so handily.

Put simply, the moment Mr. Ozawa and the New Komeito party have reached this agreement, significance of the Upper House election scheduled this summer might be lost. Accordingly, Mr. Ozawa can keep his influence even if he is forced to step down from the position of the Secretary General of the DPJ due to possible prosecution for violation of the Political Funding Regulation Law.

Nonetheless, the approval rate for the Hatoyama Cabinet will drop to a 10% level, an impossible line.



(http://www.just-oldies.com/1964/world_without_love.htm

If it is global warming or cooling, Israel's defeat or victory, or Mr. Hatoyama's resignation or not, this is the world without love for some...)



Pro 5:3 For the lips of a strange woman drop as an honeycomb, and her mouth is smoother than oil:

Pro 5:4 But her end is bitter as wormwood, sharp as a two-edged sword.

Pro 5:5 Her feet go down to death; her steps take hold on hell.