Thursday, September 02, 2010

"Elias with Moses"

Tokyo Imperial Palace in an Old Castle
Tokyo Central-Government District
Tokyo Sight-Seeing Buses



Ambiguous but Dramatic Data (L'amour ambigu, mais dramatique)


It needs enormous energy and physical work to heat the earth so that its temperature gets just 0.1 degrees F or C higher.

To boost this 0.1 degrees to 0.2, namely realize a 100% increase of the increase, also needs enormous energy and physical work.

Accordingly, CO2 alone cannot achieve this great task. Energy consumed by all the people on this earth must also contribute to this heating or an increase of the increase of the global temperature.

Conversely, with such huge energy consumption and CO2 emissions on the earth, the temperature of the air covering the whole earth increases just a bit little, say, from "15.0 degrees Celsius to 15.1" to "15.0 degrees Celsius to 15.2."

Indeed, it has taken 2000 years even for Jesus Christ to have His teaching reach this east end of the world, namely Japan.




SECTION I: Change in Change of Temperature

As I presented the following figure (today modified) yesterday, the change in fluctuation of global temperature can be a result from a change in total energy use and CO2 emissions.

d(dTemperature/dt)/dt = a*dEnergy/dt + b*dCO2/dt



From 1971 to 2004, the yearly emissions of CO2 in the world increased twice larger, namely from 13.6 billion tons to 25.7 billion tons.

From 1971 to 2006, the yearly consumption of energy in the world increased 2.2 times larger.

However, a threshold for outward appearance of the combined effects of energy consumption and CO2 seems to have been only surpassed around 1990. In other word, till 1990 magnitude of the combined effects must have been too weak to emerge in the environment.

Between 1990 and 2010, the energy consumption has increased by 35.1%. Between 1990 and 2010, CO2 emissions have increased by 28.5%.

Between 1990 and 2010, the three-consecutive-year average of fluctuation (anomaly) of the global temperature around 1990 was 0.2833 degrees Celsius and that around 2009 is 0.5466 degrees Celsius, resulting in an increase by 92.9%.

(http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt )

Accordingly, 92.9% is closer to 35.1%+28.5% (=63.6%), rather than to 28.5%.

d(dTemperature/dt)/dt = a*dEnergy/dt + b*dCO2/dt

In this case for 1990 and 2010(2009), we can adopt: a = 1; b = 2.

d(dTemperature/dt)/dt = dEnergy/dt + 2*dCO2/dt

92.9% = 35.1% + 2*28.5% = 92.1%

Got it!?!

So, we can say that the global temperature is increasing according to the above equation with the factors of energy consumption and CO2 emissions.

We can also say: if you decrease emissions of CO2 only, energy consumed and released by mankind to the environment and the air would still raise the temperature (according to the law of physics).

Yet, as was the case around 1970, another threshold might be set under which no appearance of those combined effects will be found on the global temperature, due to global cooling caused by some natural factors stronger than human consumption of energy and human-emitting CO2, though these factors (which might bring about a glacial age) are still unknown.




SECTION II: Ignorant Leader & His Blind Followers?

Mr. Ichiro Ozawa, the most influential and controversial lawmaker of Japan's ruling party, has at least two faces: one to America and another to China.

Probably, when he was a key member of the conservative LDP which held power till the last summer, Mr. Ozawa negotiated with various politicians and high-ranking officials of the U.S. Government. And, he must have thought that he was not so respected by Americans.

Probably, when he was a key member of the conservative LDP which held power till the last summer, Mr. Ozawa negotiated with various politicians and high-ranking officials of China. He still looks like keeping a strong tie with them. Accordingly, he must be thinking that he is so much respected by Chinese.

---------------
CBS News
Aug. 25, 2010

Japan Senior Lawmaker: Americans Are Simple-minded

Key Figure In Japan Ruling Party Calls Americans 'simple-minded'

(AP) TOKYO (AP) - A key figure in Japan's ruling party dubbed Americans "simple-minded" in a speech to fellow lawmakers Wednesday.

...Ozawa was forced to resign as party secretary-general in early June over a funding scandal, though he has denied any wrongdoing.

..."I don't think Americans are very smart, but I give extremely high credit for democracy and choices by its people," he said. "They chose a black president for the first time in U.S. history," adding that he thought once that would never be possible.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/08/25/ap/asia/main6804485.shtml


The China Post
Updated Thursday, September 2, 2010 11:21 pm TWN, AP

Japanese political veteran says he'll vie for PM job

TOKYO -- A Japanese ruling party veteran confirmed Tuesday he will run in an internal party election next month, mounting a challenge to a prime minister who has been in office less than three months.

...The 68-year-old Ozawa is a powerbroker in the party but unpopular with the public. He stepped down in June as the party's secretary-general amid a funding scandal. Public opinion surveys show that a vast majority of voters prefer Kan over Ozawa.

http://www.chinapost.com.tw/asia/2010/09/02/271066/Japanese-political.htm
---------------

Mr. Ozawa simply and flimsily showed his supporters that he had guts to let down America. But, China might find it soon that being a close friend of Mr. Ozawa will be useless sooner or later for their strategic or secret operations in Japan.

Followers of Mr. Ozawa criticize the mainstream media and national newspapers for their concerted attacks on Mr. Ozawa. "Results of phone surveys conducted by the national newspapers were cooked up and doctored so as to make Mr. Ozawa look unpopular," they are claiming in various Internet sites.

Yet, a major radio station also conducted an e-mail survey, requesting listeners on August 27 to send e-mails to the radio station and express their support for P.M. Mr. Kan or Mr. Ozawa. Results from 463 e-mails they received are:
For P.M. Naoto Kan: 49.8%
For Ichiro Ozawa: 50.2%


(http://www.tbsradio.jp/stand-by/2010/08/post_2658.html)

If there are 20% of voters who unusually strongly support one candidate, no matter how much he is unpopular in large, such a result is possible, since the absolute number of those fanatic supporters can be 20 million in Japan in the worst case.

Anyway, this DPJ leadership election (virtually Japan's premiership election) will provide interesting data and examples in terms of real and engineered popularity of politicians and online/telephone surveys.


(Mr. Ozawa does not look like a warm-hearted and humble guy who would openly share official funds the Government provides for each party by law, if he is in a position to manage such funds. He has made use of such political funds secret even to other executives of the party, claiming that such secrecy is necessary to win election. In order to keep this secrecy, he takes a coercive attitude so that everybody will be afraid of him and will never ask where, how, and how much those public funds have been used in his political activities.

In principle, those official funds must be evenly shared by all the lawmakers who belong to the party.

Mr. Kan as prime minister cannot tell a lie about matters related to such government funds. If Mr. Ozawa should be elected as P.M., he will be also not allowed to.

What I want to emphasize is that as 60% to 80% of voters and taxpayers doubt reporting about political-fund usage by Mr. Ozawa, he should not become prime minister of Japan.)


*** *** *** ***



Jesus Christ took St. Peter, St. James, and St. John to a mysterious meeting with two mysterious figures.

These two mysterious persons must have been far closer to Jesus Christ than the three future saints were, so that the two uncommon persons looked like Elias and Moses to the three ordinary men of 2000 years ago in Palestine.

Jesus Christ met with these two special disciples who had been already ordered what to do when Jesus Christ was executed. Jesus Christ gave the last instructions to these two marvelous disciples (one of whom might have been His brother or cousin, or otherwise a Roman officer [since he had a special lantern shedding white light]) who might have been called "Elias" and "Moses" as their code names.

"Elias" and "Moses" must have also informed Jesus Christ of the state of betrayal by Judas Iscariot. That is why St. Peter, St. James, and St. John were left slumbering.

These two people would come to the tomb of Jesus Christ, being guided by Angels, before His female followers would come early on the morning of the third day after His burial.




(http://www.mu-tech.co.jp/FirstSongWeb/What_A_Friend_We_Have_In_Jesus_strings_quartet.mid

Source: http://www.asahi-net.or.jp/~HB9T-KTD/music/Japan/Studio/Midi/Traditional/What_A_Friend_We_Have_In_Jesus.html)





Mar 9:1 And he said unto them, Verily I say unto you, That there be some of them that stand here, which shall not taste of death, till they have seen the kingdom of God come with power.

Mar 9:2 And after six days Jesus taketh with him Peter, and James, and John, and leadeth them up into an high mountain apart by themselves: and he was transfigured before them.

Mar 9:3 And his raiment became shining, exceeding white as snow; so as no fuller on earth can white them.

Mar 9:4 And there appeared unto them Elias with Moses: and they were talking with Jesus.