Friday, October 08, 2010

"The kingdom of heaven is at hand"

As Far As Tokyo in the North
Yokohama to Tokyo (Toyoko) 20 km in the North East
Here You Are, Dears!



Or Vendredi


On October 8, 2010, Mr. Liu Xiaobo was named as the winner of the 2010 Nobel Peace Prize.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liu_Xiaobo

On this news, a hundred or so foreign reporters have gathered before his house in Beijing, while some were waiting there for a long-waited announcement.

http://www.jiji.com/jc/p?id=20101008211739-9954933&n=1

So, China's violent challenge against Japan in the East China Sea has finally resulted in a big failure of Chinese diplomatic agencies in Europe.




SECTION I: China! China! Energy for 1.3 Billion Men!!

As the Chinese population is 1.3 billion, it can house 3 Americas or 10 Japans.

However, if this situation should come true violently, it would destroy the nature of China, demolish sense of ethics of the Chinese people, and destabilize the world due to expected wars for resources.

But, what's truly going on?

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China Now World’s Biggest Energy User

FINANCIAL TIMES
Wednesday, 21 Jul 2010 | 5:00 AM ET
By: Carola Hoyos in London


China last year consumed 2,252m tons of oil equivalent of energy from sources including coal, oil, nuclear power, natural gas and hydropower, about 4 per cent more than the US, the rich countries’ watchdog said...

China is already by far the world’s largest user of coal. Despite its own vast resources, its imports of thermal coal are expected to hit 105-115m tonnes this year, pushing it ahead of Japan as the world’s largest coal importer. Only three years ago China was a net coal exporter...

In March, Nobuo Tanaka, the IEA’s secretary-general, called on China to join the IEA, warning that the organisation, which represents the OECD’s largest energy consuming countries, risked losing its relevance otherwise.


http://www.cnbc.com/id/38317526
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The figure below shows the energy use trends in America (gray blue) and in China (dark red). The unit is 1 million tons of equivalent crude oil.


(http://www.garbagenews.net/archives/1483913.html )


Now, let's check the state of and trend in consumption of crude oil and oil derivative products in China as reported in Japan Petroleum Energy Center News in November 2008.


( http://www.pecj.or.jp/japanese/jpecnews/pdf/jpecnews200811.pdf)
In 2010, China is estimated to consume 400 million tons of crude oil.
In 2030, China is estimated to consume 750 million tons of crude oil.

But, the crude oil consumption is just less than 20% of China's total energy use.

In terms of China's consumption of "oil equivalent of energy from sources including coal, oil, nuclear power, natural gas and hydropower," its quantum leaping began around 2001.

Since 2001, China's energy use increase is about oil equivalent 100 million tons per year, while the whole U.S. private sector is estimated this year to use final energy of oil-equivalent 550 million tons.

Anyway, the following figure shows this extraordinary momentum in China's total energy use measured as oil-equivalent.

http://www.theenergyreport.com/images/chinawin2.jpeg

China, a country with the population of 1.3 billion, now uses 2.5 times more energy that it did 10 years ago. And their major energy source is coal, a powerful source of CO2. For mankind to reduce CO2 emissions almost means for China to reduce its use of coal.

More specifically, according to a Chinese researcher, China has increased its energy use at an average pace of 8.9% per year (almost proportional to its GDP expansion).

In 2020, China's total energy consumption will reach 8 billion tons in a coal-equivalent volume, accounting for half of the total consumption in the world.


(http://j.people.com.cn/94476/7032591.html)

It is time to request China to enter a deflation era like Japan to save energy and reduce CO2 emission.




SECTION II: China as No.3

Taking into consideration coal, China is the world No.3 fossil energy resource owners, next to the U.S. and Russia both with more coal than China.

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World and U.S. Fossil Fuel Supplies

AgMRC Renewable Energy Newsletter

December 2009
Daniel O’Brien and Mike Woolverton

The United States and Russia have the largest proved supplies of fossil fuels in the world, but their respective portfolios of oil, natural gas, and coal supplies vary considerably in composition. To sum and compare fossil fuels supplies on an energy-production basis, it was assumed that 1 short ton of coal produces 19,988,000 Btu, 1 cubic foot of natural gas produces 1,028 Btu, and that 1 barrel of oil producers 5,800,000 Btu of energy. The energy-production value of fossil fuel supplies are compared on the basis of total quadrillion Btu (i.e., "q-Btu") of energy production capacity per country. The top 6 countries in terms of their projected total proved and undiscovered fossil fuel-based energy supplies are discussed below.


(Click to enlarge.)

China: Chinese proved fossil fuel energy supplies are estimated to be 2,698 quadrillion Btu equivalents, or 8.3% of world supplies. Coal comprises 2,522 q-Btu of fossil fuel energy equivalents – making up 93% of the Chinese proved fossil fuel energy supply, and 14% of the proved world coal supply. Oil provides 93 q-Btu or 4% of China’s proved energy equivalent fossil fuel supplies. Natural gas accounts for 82 q-Btu, or 3% of Chinese proved fossil fuel energy supplies. When an additional 165 q-Btu of undiscovered or UTRR oil and natural gas supplies are added, China is projected to have 2,862 q-Btu of fossil fuel energy supplies – the 4th most of any nation.

http://www.agmrc.org/renewable_energy/energy/world_and_us_fossil_fuel_supplies.cfm
--------------------

The U.S. and Russia have together populations one third of China's.

But, they have together fossil energy resources four times larger than China's.

As they together have fossil energy potential per person 12 times larger than China's, America and Russian can survive by selling coal to China even in the 22th century, in the worst case scenario.

Yet, China has twice larger fossil energy resources than India. China can survive more easily than India.

But, what about Japan? Japan imports almost all crude oil, natural gas, and coal it needs. So, Japan cannot all the more make a concession to China over fossil energy resources under the East China Sea.

*** *** *** ***


Next Monday, that is, October 11, is a public holiday in Japan.

October and November in Japan are in a foliage season. Colorful mountains and hills decked gorgeously with fading green, yellow and red leaves under the blue sky invite many people to enjoy picturesque landscapes all over Japan.

According to a theory, when a huge ice sheet covering the Arctic Ocean melts, a great amount of air above the area is warmed, causing disturbance of the jet stream. As this effect remains for months, a huge amount of the cold air mass in Siberia is pushed eastward to reach the sky over Japan. So, melting ice in the the Arctic Ocean in the summer brings a cold winter to Japan.

For several years, some scientists predict, the earth will suffer less global warming, since other factors for cooling the earth are going to be stronger. But, after this period, with a constant increase of CO2 in the air the earth will again show a clear trend toward warming.

Yet, as you see the rapid increase of energy use in China in a figure of SECTION I, consumed and released energy itself is a great source for global warming as I once calculated in this blog. However, my feeling is that the natural cooling power of the earth is more stronger than the warming momentum triggered by the human-released energy as well as CO2.

All of these discussions indicate that a rich life is a sin. A man has to be poor, living with less energy. So, Japanese lawmakers receiving 20-million-yen yearly payment from the Government while shouting a need for CO2 reduction must resign and get engaged in a low-paying job.

So, all of these discussions indicate that you should not trust a politician who is shouting a need for CO2 reduction, without leaving their good-paying job in the parliament. They are fools or fakers.

In addition, one of my ideas is to find a chemical or a molecule that will cancel out the warming effect of CO2 in the air. If a harmless natural or synthesized gas consisting of those chemicals or molecules is massively released in the air, it will hinder the global warming by CO2.

I hope that you will win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry and Peace before 2030.

And, remember that CO2 accounts for about 0.04% of gasses in the air, while O2 21% and N2 78% (H2O can be 4.0%, though seprately). We can add a new gas in a ratio of 0.04%.







Mat 10:7 And as ye go, preach, saying, The kingdom of heaven is at hand.

Mat 10:8 Heal the sick, cleanse the lepers, raise the dead, cast out devils: freely ye have received, freely give.