Wednesday, May 28, 2008

DIRECT HEAT OR INDIRECT CO2






DIRECT HEAT OR INDIRECT CO2




In a late-night TV news program last night in Japan, they untiringly reported on Mrs. Clinton.

Can she pass all she has obtained in the Primaries so far on Mr. Al Gore?

If she legally transfers her right to be an official Presidential-Election candidate of the Democratic Party, no matter how slim its chance is now, to Mr. Al Gore, I suppose, the Earth would be better preserved, regardless of truth of the CO2 effect.


(Why can't the right to be elected as the US President be traded like the CO2 emission credit at all?

It is because money is dirtier than CO2, isn't it?)



PART I: THE METHOD OF SCIENCE

Economists have a special sense in combining some economic factors together to explain the real world phenomena.

But, economy itself (as well as business and industry) is conditioned also by history, culture, politics, and even religion and large-scale conspiracy, the academic knowledge on economics cannot solve problems.

But, science is for truth. And, there is a well established methodology to pursue truth in a scientific manner.

And nowadays, as CO2, a scientific matter, is a big issue, you have to listen to scientists but not economists.

To have a sound insight into the nature and the scientific truth, you have to undergo special training not only in engineering but also in pure science.

You have to read at least "Science et method" Jules-Henri PoincarĂ© (April 29, 1854 – July 17, 1912) wrote and I read when I was a student though in the Japanese translation, since the Japanese language is so versatile and advanced.


PART II: HEAT OR CO2 FROM BURNING



In any discussion, explanation, or publicity, responsible parties in charge must use the above figure.

There are two major factors that have caused a global-temperature rise in these decades: HEAT (energy) and CO2.

Or more specifically,
(1) The heat or energy directly emitted to the air from burning fuels through machine in facilities, and

(2) CO2 also emitted when burning fuels to the air, which absorbs heat from the ground and sends it back to the surrounding air or down to the ground.

And, inevitably, to reduce the amount of either or the both, we have to reduce the amount of fuels used and burnt.

In other word, you can only advertise the effect of CO2 and have people reduce the amount of fuels used, so as to stop the increase in temperature, since the heat released to the air thorough combustion-machine and facilities can be also abated in the process.

It is a nice trick to the extent called a conspiracy.

(It is so, since the amount of CO2 mankind has added to the naturally-generated CO2 in the atmosphere is at most 3.3% [7.2 giga-tons per year against 210 giga-tons per year], which however gives a warning against inflated material desire of the human civilization accompanied by an explosive use of energy.)

Significantly, it is not yet sufficiently explained: how exactly the ambient temperature will rise when human industrial activities, mostly electric power generation and transportation, add 3.3% more CO2 to the air, while behavior of CO2 absorbing and releasing heat from the ground are complicated in terms of energy conservation and an entropy/temperature balance.


SECTION III: A KEY POINT

CO2 is generated only when burning a fossil fuel.

(CO2 can be also generated when using crude oil as an material for manufacturing chemical products through chemical reactions, which however is not included here for some reasons, as you should know.)

In short, CO2 is generated only when burning oil, coal, or natural gas in electric power generator, or burning gasoline or the like in the engine of a car, a ship or an airplane.

So, if you use less electricity, the industry will use less fuels and thus generate less CO2.

If you travel less, cars, ships, and airplanes will use less fuels and thus generate less CO2.

So, it is a conspiracy to shout "Reduce CO2" without shouting "Reduce the use of fuels, electricity, and occasions for traveling."

In other words, to shout "Reduce CO2" without shouting "Abandon a materially rich life" is an act of conspiracy.

It is especially so, when ordinary citizens have had no special training on how to think and analyze things in a scientific manner, which super-rich people and politicians well know.

( http://www.keirinkan.com/kori/kori_physics/kori_physics_1/contents/ph-1/3-bu/3-2-3.htm )



SECTION IV: GLOBAL COOLING

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"A year ago, many meteorologists predicted that higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would make the year 2007 the hottest in the last decade, but, fortunately, these predictions did not become reality," Abdusamatov said.

He also said that in 2008, global temperatures would drop slightly, rather than rise, due to unprecedentedly low solar radiation in the past 30 years, and would continue decreasing even if industrial emissions of carbon dioxide reach record levels.

By 2041, solar activity will reach its minimum according to a 200-year cycle, and a deep cooling period will hit the Earth approximately in 2055-2060. It will last for about 45-65 years, the scientist added.

"By the mid-21st century the planet will face another Little Ice Age, similar to the Maunder Minimum, because the amount of solar radiation hitting the Earth has been constantly decreasing since the 1990s and will reach its minimum approximately in 2041," he said.


http://en.rian.ru/science/20080122/97519953.html
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There is another report that foretells the near future cooling of the earth: a temperature decrease of the oceanic current deep or near at the bottom of the sea.



SECTION V: CONVENTIONAL ANTI-CO2 DECLARATION

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More to the point, we consider the scientific basis of the 1992 Global Climate Treaty to be flawed and its goal to be unrealistic. The policies to implement the Treaty are, as of now, based solely on unproven scientific theories, imperfect computer models -- and the unsupported assumption that catastrophic global warming follows from an increase in greenhouse gases, requiring immediate action. We do not agree. We believe that the dire predictions of a future warming have not been validated by the historic climate record, which appears to be dominated by natural fluctuations, showing both warming and cooling. These predictions are based on nothing more than theoretical models and cannot be relied on to construct far-reaching policies.

http://www.sepp.org/policy%20declarations/leipzig.html
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I admit that the global warming is a concrete fact and it is partly due to the too-lax use of crude oil, coal, and natural gas.

The heat in the air is increasing due to heat and CO2, both emitted from power generators and vehicle engines, I admit, too.

But, too much emphasis on CO2 is a conspiracy.

And, they are now revealing their true self by introducing a scheme to reap profits through CO2 emission-rights transactions.

****************************************************************************


Yet, I respect Mr. Al Gore’s efforts to boost awareness of a grave change in global climate (and even somebody calls me Al, too, very personally).

But, President Mr. George W. Bush might be doing a right thing in an extreme case that things are really exceptionally complicated at its deep core.

His invasion of Iraq and his efforts to consolidate US power base in the Middle East have become a big factor for present financial prosperity of some Arab nations around the Persian Gulf.

It may allow the U.S. to contribute to future stabilization of oil supply and its prices while oil stockpiles in the nature are getting scarce.

It might turn to be a wise decision eventually that he avoids the easy adoption of the Kyoto Protocol but advocates the expansion of development and a wider use of biomass fuel.

In future, his cool policy toward poor Americans might be overlooked due to his miracle contribution to security of energy sources for mankind, very ironically.

You cannot judge people, politicians, and players in any fields in terms of good and evil.

Only the God judges.



(If you cannot appreciate hidden personality and ability of people, colleagues, friends, or even families, you should not become a leader; conversely, if you can, you should.

And, there are two types of personality and ability among mankind from a certain point of view: the direct heat type and the indirect CO2 type.

You need the both to achieve a real effect like the so-called global warming.)




Jud 13:20 For it came to pass, when the flame went up toward heaven from off the altar, that the angel of the LORD ascended in the flame of the altar. And Manoah and his wife looked on it, and fell on their faces to the ground.

Jud 13:21 But the angel of the LORD did no more appear to Manoah and to his wife. Then Manoah knew that he was an angel of the LORD.

Jud 13:22 And Manoah said unto his wife, We shall surely die, because we have seen God.

Jud 13:23 But his wife said unto him, If the LORD were pleased to kill us, he would not have received a burnt offering and a meat offering at our hands, neither would he have shewed us all these things, nor would as at this time have told us such things as these.

Jud 13:24 And the woman bare a son, and called his name Samson: and the child grew, and the LORD blessed him.